Andy Murray vs Roger Federer 2015 Wimbledon semifinal by the numbers: Stats and facts on Federer vs Murray at Wimbledon

Hannah Wilks in Wimbledon 9 Jul 2015
Andy Murray's weaker serve could be the key to victory for Roger Federer in Friday's semifinals (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)

All the numbers you need to know ahead of Andy Murray vs Roger Federer in the semifinals of Wimbledon 2015 on Friday.

Roger Federer vs Andy Murray is live from Wimbledon's Centre Court on Friday, 3pm BST. Watch & bet on tennis live from Wimbledon at 365



Federer and Murray after the 2012 Wimbledon final  (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
Federer 12-11 Murray
Federer and Murray have an extremely close head-to-head, and it has been close since the beginning. While Federer won their first meeting in Bangkok in 2005, Murray got his revenge in Cincinnati the following year and ever since then neither player has won more than three in a row against the other (with the exception of a period in 2008-9 when Murray won four straight against Federer).

Federer could match that streak, however, with a win in the Wimbledon semifinals – Federer has won their last three matches, at the Australian Open in 2014, the Cincinnati Masters and the World Tour Finals the same year, the latter a 6-0, 6-1 drubbing for Murray.

In Grand Slams: Federer and Murray have met five times in Grand Slams with Federer winning four out of five (the 2008 US Open final, 2010 Australian Open final, the Wimbledon final in 2012 and 2014 Australian Open quarterfinals). Murray’s only win over Federer in a Grand Slam came at the 2013 Australian Open, Murray winning a five-set battle in the semifinals.

Federer does, however, hold the distinction of having reduced Murray to tears twice.

On grass: Federer and Murray, surprisingly, have only placed twice on grass and both came in the summer of 2012. Federer beat Murray in four sets in the Wimbledon final, and Murray returned the favour in straight sets in the final of the London Olympics.

Federer and Murray in action at Wimbledon in 2012 (GLYN KIRK/AFP/GettyImages)
Grand Slam history
Titles: Federer 17, Murray 2 – It’s no secret that Federer has a ridiculously large number of Grand Slam titles. He last won one in 2012, beating Murray in the Wimbledon final. Since then, Murray has won two: The 2012 US Open and Wimbledon 2013. He beat Novak Djokovic in both those finals.

At Wimbledon: Federer owns seven Wimbledon titles, winning five in a row from 2003-7 and taking the title in 2009 and 2012 as well. In addition, he has reached the final twice more for a total of nine (2008 and 2014). He consequently owns a 9-0 record in Wimbledon semifinals.
Murray has one Wimbledon title (2013) and an additional runner-up finish in 2012 (to Federer). He also reached the semifinals in 2009, 2010 and 2011 – a 2-3 record in Wimbledon semifinals.

This season: Murray has actually been the better Grand Slam player this season. He reached the final of the Australian Open and the semifinals of the French Open (losing to Novak Djokovic at both) while Federer fell in the third round of the Australian Open to Andreas Seppi and the quarterfinals of Roland Garros to Stan Wawrinka.

Year-to-date record

Federer in action against Gilles Simon  (Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images)
Murray: Won 41, lost 6 (3 titles)
– Murray’s 2015 season has been superb so far, with his only poor losses coming in the quarterfinals of Rotterdam and Dubai. He won Munich, Madrid and Queen’s, finished runner-up at the Australian Open and Miami and reached the semifinals in Indian Wells and at the French Open. Four of his six losses have come to Djokovic. 

Federer: Won 34, lost 6 (4 titles) – Champion in Brisbane, Dubai, Istanbul and Halle, it’s notable that Federer didn’t win any of the Masters Series titles so far this season but it’s still been a very good year so far for the Swiss player. 

Grass
Federer has an unbelievable career record on grass, which is his best surface (136-19 through his career, excluding Wimbledon this year, for a winning rating of 0.877), as well as 15 titles on grass. His last defeat came to Djokovic in the 2014 Wimbledon final.

Murray is 83-16 on grass (0.838) which is also his best surface and owns six grass-court titles. His last defeat on grass was to Grigor Dimitrov in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon in 2014.

Match stats
Sets lost at this year’s Wimbledon – Federer 1 (to Sam Groth), Murray 2 (to Andreas Seppi and Ivo Karlovic)

Games lost at this year’s Wimbledon – Federer 49, Murray 51 

Andy Murray in action against Vasek Pospisil  (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)
Tie break record
– Federer is 12-8 in tie breaks so far in 2015, and has lost the only tie break he has played so far at Wimbledon (to Groth). Murray is 10-4 in tie breaks this season and has won both the tie breaks he has played so far at Wimbledon.

Aces – Federer has served 303 aces so far in 2015, and 47 so far at Wimbledon, while Murray has 282 aces so far in 2015 and 41 so far at Wimbledon.

Double faults – Murray serves a lot more double faults than Federer, with 93 to the Swiss player’s 56 so far in 2015 (15 to four so far during Wimbledon). This is probably related to the weakness of Murray’s second serve, which he must protect by trying to go for more on that shot to prevent players teeing off on the return.

First serves in – Murray and Federer are almost level in this category, with Murray landing 63% of his first deliveries, Federer 64%. At Wimbledon so far, Murray’s percentage has drifted between 57% (against Haase) and 74% against Karlovic, while Federer’s first-serve percentage has not gone below 61% in any of his five matches so far.

Second serves – Federer has a clear advantage in this category, winning 56% of points behind his second serve in the season to date to Murray’s 53% (this may not sound like a big difference, but at this level these margins are significant). 

Winners/unforced errors – This is another category where Federer has the clear advantage. He has hit 188 winners at Wimbledon so far, more than Murray at 172, and has done so for a cost of fewer unforced errors (64 for a positive differential of +124 to Murray’s 76/+96). This shows that Federer is able to choose his moments to attack and is going on the offensive while playing well within himself, while Murray is straining to find his opportunities.

Time on court – Federer has spent the last time on court of all four semifinalists by some margin – seven hours and 50 minutes to Murray’s 11 hours and 1 minute – and run the least distance, 7,864 metres to Murray’s 10,201. Federer has dropped serve just once, in his last match against Gilles Simon, and conceded one set against Sam Groth in the third round; Murray has been broken seven times and dropped sets against Andreas Seppi and Ivo Karlovic. In a match that’s almost certain to be decided primarily by effectiveness of serving, those aren’t good numbers for Murray.

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A look at the stats shows a clear advantage for Federer in most categories – experience, grass-court record, and the facts of the matches so far. The second seed looks set to return to the Wimbledon final for the tenth time.


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Andy Murray vs Roger Federer 2015 Wimbledon semifinal by the numbers: Stats and facts on Federer vs Murray at Wimbledon

All the data you need as Federer and Murray clash in the Wimbledon semifinals on Friday

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