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2010 Roland Garros - Andy Murray a huge longshot to win outright

(credit: sebrenner)

Murray's fantastic comeback at the French Open in the 1st round has not won him much favor as a potential candidate to win. 

Andy Murray made a fantastic comeback at the Roland Garros tennis center on Monday against Richard Gasquet, who appeared to be playing exceptionally well through the first 2 and a half sets.

Gasquet was hitting drop shots with precision, he was pounding forehands tight to the net, well paced, and deep, and when things didn't go exactly according to plan, Gasquet did not appear to dwell mentally as he stormed out to a 2 sets to love lead and a break in the third set. 

However Murray stayed tough as he spent more than 4 hours on the court in a defining come back that saw the Scot take down a 5 setter.  But despite the victory, Murray does not have his share of backers in the futures market for the 2010 French Open as SportingBet have the Scot at +5000 (50/1).

While having to play 5 sets in the first round of a Slam against the 68th ranked player on tour usually should be eye brow raising for a player ranked as highly as Murray, it is important to note that Gasquet was no ordinary unseeded player.  He's much better than his ranking implies and he was the man of the moment heading into the first round as he was fresh off of a clay court title where he beat Fernando Verdasco in the final.

Murray's draw through his quarter cannot be considered that difficult and, despite conventional wisdom, his second round match might be considered to be EASIER than his first round match as he now draws Juan Ignacio Chela, a good player but one that is not as good as Gasquet.

This is what Murray's draw to the semifinals may look like: Chela, Marcos Baghdatis, John Isner, and then maybe Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Thiemo De Bakker, or even Viktor Troiki.  Expect Murray to play 9-11 sets against Chela, Baghdatis, and Isner combined and that should leave him fresh heading into a quarterfinal match-up against a tough opponent.

The problem with backing Murray to win outright is that you have to be worried about the potential of the Scot having to play Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal in the semis and finals, matches Murray would be an underdog in.  At +2000, the risk would not be worth it but at +5000 it certainly is a good risk.

Murray is +125 (5/4) to win his quarter with bet365 and if he is so favored to advance to the semis, his value to win outright cannot be ignored at 50 to 1.

Murray dodged a huge bullet in the first round and the experience may be just what he needs to put things into overdrive.

Register with SportingBet to bet on the 2010 French Open - MAXIMUMBONUS is your promotional code for a free bet that can be used on the 2010 men's finals.

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2010 Roland Garros - Andy Murray a huge longshot to win outright

Murray's fantastic comeback at the French Open in the 1st round has not won him much favor as a potential candidate to win. 

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