Roger Federer is 8-2 against Tomas Berdych and is a heavy favorite heading into their match.
Federer vs Berdych is available on live streaming: go to bet365>Sports>live streaming.
The Wimbledon 2010 quarterfinals is loaded with talent this year as no less than 6 of the 8 pre-tournament favorites have survived so far. Only Lleyton Hewitt and Andy Roddick have suffered defeats.
Roger Federer has had a draw so easy through Wimbledon 2010 that you'd think that it might have been handpicked. Whether he struggled, like in the first round or cruised, like in the 3rd and 4th rounds, you have to admit that Federer has not played a player of substance yet, at least as far as Wimbledon standards go.
Federer now faces 12 seed Tomas Berdych in a section of the draw that, by seed, once belonged to Nikolay Davydenko. However the Russian was not exactly born on grass and that left his section of the draw wide open and Berdych has risen as the challenger in what is the weakest quarter of Wimbledon 2010 by a country mile.
Berdych has very little experience in matches of this magnitude as he is making just his third appearance in a Grand Slam quarterfinal match. He should have some confidence however as he defeated Federer the last time the two met and Berdych is fresh off of making his first Grand Slam semifinal.
The last time these two players met was back during the American hard court swing and a staff member recommended backing Berdych to win 2-1, a betting line that cashed in at +850 (17/2). The money has generally been good in betting against Federer since Juan Martin Del Potro cashed in at the final of the US Open, another betting result tipped here. Here are the prices for the quarterfinal match at Wimbledon between Federer and Berdych:
Federer to win: -450 (1/6) Boylesports
Berdych to win: +450 (9/2) SportingBet
There is a near overlay in this match and it is noteworthy that the odds have changed substantially since the market for this match opened over 24 hours ago. Federer, when the market opened, was -600 for a best price while Berdych was as long as +535. The betting trends in this match are favoring Berdych as his price has been shortened while Federer's has lengthened.
Berdych looked good to make it this far early in the tournament but his form has dropped off a little bit since then. His last two matches have not been easy despite the apparent easy competition.
Federer on the other hand has taken advantage of his own easy draw to recompose himself after struggling against poor opponents earlier on in the tournament. At -600, Federer was a really tough sell but -450 (2/9) should be earning the Wimbledon master some backers.
However, laying Federer against good opposition has been the value bettor's move for a long time now as the odds in betting against Federer are paying out regularly enough and they are frequently long. Federer has a long term history of burning his layers but in the shorter run it has been those that bet in favor of Fed that have been taking the hits.
Our recommendation is Berdych provided that you can get +425 (17/4).
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