Arnaud Clement does have multiple match wins against Roger Federer but none of them are recent.

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Roger Federer and Arnaud Clement are standing in each other's way for the semifinals at the ATP Estoril event.  They will face one another in a quarterfinal match after Federer defeated Bjorn Phau in the opener in straight sets. 

Federer comes into the match as a heavy favorite with a price that is difficult to bet at -3300 (Stan James) while Clement's best price is with Boylesports at +1400 (14/1). 

It is somewhat puzzling that Federer should come in as a bigger favorite against Clement than he did against Phau, as Clement is by far a superior tennis player to Phau and should be more of a challenge.  However Federer was playing Phau following a loss and that appeared to sway opinion a little bit.

Head to head these players have met 9 times on tour with Federer winning 6 of their matches.  None of their matches are recent however as they have not met since the 2006 Miami Masters.  Also they have never faced one another on clay and Clement has not beaten Federer since 2001, a time when Clement was lingering around the top 10 (he's currently 83rd).

It's really hard to pick Clement to upset Federer because he has not made anything this season except for a finals appearance in Auckland (hard court) and that was 4 months ago now.  Since then he's failed to make a deep run and he's lost several matches to players outside of the top 50, including his most recent loss to Peter Torebko just over a week ago (Torebko was ranked 781st at time of match).

Federer should win this in straight sets and that event is available at -700 (1/7) with Blue Square.  However, that line won't help your bankroll much so you may want to take Fed to win precisely 2 sets to 1 with William Hill at +700 (7/1) instead and hope that Clement catches a break in just one set.

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