Nadal looks to continue his recent success against Tomas Berdych in Indian Wells.

Rafael Nadal and Tomas Berdych will collide at the 2010 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, California in quarterfinal play. 

Nadal, the defending champion for the event, has come in as the favorite as Boylesports have him priced at -275 (4/11) while Berdych is priced at +275 (11/4) with Stan James.

With the two sets of odds across the two sportsbooks so tight it is safe to say that there is value to be had in betting this match.

Nadal has beaten Berdych in 5 consecutive matches 2 of which have come on the hard court surface.  In those matches Nadal has taken down all sets played and there is no way Berdych is looking forward to this quarterfinal appearance.

When you look at how the draw has played out in Indian Wells on the men's side this quarterfinal was supposed to be between Nikolay Davydenko and Rafael Nadal.  However with Davydenko, who continues to have wrist problems, allowing Victor Troiki to walkover the talent has been diluted in that section of the draw and you really have to regard Berdych as a little bit lucky to be where he is.

Our recommendation is to bet Nadal in this match.  You could pound him hard at -275 (4/11) but the one thing to be weary of is the earlier match between Berdych and Fernando Verdasco.  Berdych destroyed Verdasco in straight sets and you have to wonder if his, Berdych's, game might have stepped up a level in Indian Wells.  However, Nadal's game has been sharp too and so a good bet on him here is the play to make.

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