One of our staff writers explains why he would rather have Nadal backed to win at the All England Club than the Swiss Maestro.
Rafael Nadal appears to have it together again as he has rattled off two consecutive Masters Series titles and he is poised to win another as he smoked Gael Monfils in the quarters of the Madrid Masters on Friday in straight sets.
While his price to win the French Open is too short to be of interest with many firms, Nadal's price to win Wimbledon 2010 is still offering value.
Currently his best price is at +400 (4/1) with Boylesports and Bodog (MAXIMUMBONUS is your promotional code) and the price has to be judged to be better than Federer's best price of +150 (3/2; Coral- MAXIMUMBONUS) in terms of value.
What has made Nadal a poor bet in the futures market for the better part of the last year has been his injury problems. However Nadal has been playing so well this clay court season that there is no reason to be afraid to back him any longer for any tournament provided that it is in the near future, such as Wimbledon which starts in June.
Nadal did not contest Wimbledon 2009 because of injury but he won outright in 2008, the last time he played the event, as he defeated Roger Federer in the final. If you agree that Nadal is going to win the French Open then, provided that injury does not re-surface, he can be expected to go very deep into the Wimbledon draw as well and even threaten for the title.
Federer's form has improved in Madrid where he's about to play Ernests Gulbis but overall his form is not true to his form from past years while Nadal's now is and that makes the Spaniard the better bet, in consideration of the odds, to win Wimbledon. You do have to respect Fed's tendency to play his best tennis at Grand Slams but you still have to like Nadal better than Federer because of odd and recent form. Federer's best has often been inadequate against Nadal's best anyways, as they head to head series reveals.
Andy Roddick at +1200 (12/1) with Boylesports is the other value bet out there at this time while Andy Murray at +500 (5/1) with Coral is probably a little too short to call valuable (+700 would be good to go).
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