The qualifying draw for the 2010 Rogers Cup starts Saturday while the main draw doesn't being until Monday.
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Rafael Nadal is the current favorite for the 2010 US Open as he is priced at +275 (11/4) to win the title with Boylesports. If Nadal wins the Toronto Masters then that price will surely shorten and here is what his draw, which has been released, could look like:
1st round: Bye
2nd round: Stanislas Wawrinka
3rd round: Sam Querrey
4th round: Marin Cilic
Semfinals: Robin Soderling
Finals: Novak Djokovic, Tomas Berdych, or Roger Federer
The key point with betting Nadal is acknowledging that there is a point where his odds become too short to back. Nadal has never made the Flushing Meadows final and he is hardly a lock to this year.
But if he wins in Toronto +275 (11/4) for the US Open will likely become history and the cutoff point for picking Rafa may be somewhere around +200 (2/1) to +225 (9/4).
Due to that possibility our recommendation is to back Nadal now with Boylesports to avoid risking the price of +275 (11/4) shortening any further.
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