Federer failed to defend his Basel title but it takes more than the likes of Julien Benneteau to knock him out.
Roger Federer's premier this year at the BNP Paribas Masters will be a second round match against France's Julien Benneteau.
Here are the odds for each player to win the match:
Benneteau: +1100 (11/1)
Federer: -5000 (1/50)
The bet365 sportsbook clearly does not want any money put on Federer in this match and there is good reason why. Benneteau is ranked 49th in the world and Federer just doesn't lose to players who are ranked that low at this point in his career. Maybe that makes betting Federer sound like a good idea, but having to bet $50 just to profit $1 probably isn't going to appeal to too many people.
The best thing to do in this match is look to see if there is a good reason to sprinkle Benneteau at +1100 (11/1).
When their head to head record is looked at there is clearly no reason to bet Benneteau. He has played Federer twice and he lost both of those matches without much of a fight whatsoever. Federer has taken all five sets in the head to head series between the two players without having to play a tiebreaker.
Benneteau also has a really questionable loss in his recent history as he lost in two relatively uncompetitive sets in Basel last week to Jarkko Nieminen, the 122nd ranked player in the world (at the time). The only convincing victory that even remotely suggests that Benneteau might defeat Federer is the fact that he, Benneteau, beat Davydenko on tour this year. However that was back in Rotterdam and Davydenko, good as he is, is far more likely to drop a bad loss than Federer is.
Finding value in this match requires using the bet setting feature with bet365. Pound Federer to take this match in straight sets at -700 (1/7) to top up your bankroll.
Go to bet365 to bet on ATP tennis.