Berdych has made an impressive run but he comes into the final in Miami as the underdog.

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Andy Roddick, of the USA, and Czech star Tomas Berdych are the survivors in Miami so far and they will meet in the final for the 2010 Sony Ericsson Open.  Roddick is priced at -200 (1/2; Paddy Power) while Berdych has been priced at +175 (7/4) with bet365.

Both players have impressive scalps collected in Miami this year as Tomas Berdych took out both Roger Federer and Robin Soderling earlier in the draw while Roddick took out Rafael Nadal in the tournament's semis.  While both players are clearly on form, Roddick on-form is a much much better tennis player than an on-form Berdych is.

In head-to-heads Roddick has been fairy dominant as he has a 5-2 record against Berdych and very importantly that includes 2 wins in 2010 already, both of which were on hard court surfaces.  Berdych has been playing the American quite tough however as he, Berdych, took Roddick to 3 sets in Brisbane 2010 while forcing 2 close tiebreakers at San Jose 2010.  The closeness of those results should prevent you from pounding Roddick in the final but it should not deter you from backing him with a moderate bet.

Roddick's serve is as good as it gets on tour right now and Berdych may have to win two tiebreakers to beat Roddick tomorrow. He, Berdych, could do that but you wouldn't really want to back him for it as short as +175 (7/4).  While Berdych's semifinal victory over Soderling was very impressive, keep in mind that Soderling is a late round underachiever as well as he never seems to have the goods when the tournament gets late.

Berdych is somewhat like Soderling as the Czech player, ranked 20th, is an underachiever for titles as he is 24 years old and only has 5 tour titles to his credit (Roddick, though a few years older, has 28).

A major strength of Berdych's is that he does well against second serves as he has won 54% of the points he has played as a second serve returner this year.  However Berdych has only won 32% of the points he's played as a FIRST SERVE returner this year and there is some important insight here.

Roddick looks like a -350 (2/7) favorite here partly because his first serve percentage is at 71% year-to-date and that fact means Berdych's strength, his second serve returning game, shouldn't be factoring into this match much as Roddick simply won't be giving Berdych many second serves to look at.

There's no problem backing Roddick at -200 (1/2) here for a top up as you have to be happy taking Roddick's serve, his 5-2 record against Berdych, and his 28 titles vs Berdych's 5 in the prestigious Miami Masters final.  That Roddick lost to an inferior player in Indian Wells doesn't mean Berdych will be able to pull off the same trick as really Ivan Ljubicic is a better player than Berdych on most days anyways.

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