Nadal is a big favorite in this match but you have to wonder if the value is with Monfils.

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Gael Monfils has had a nice bounce back tournament in Madrid this week as he is through to the quarterfinals.  His run looks like it will soon be coming to a dead halt however as Rafael Nadal is Monfils' next opponent.

Nadal has come in at an untouchable price of -2500 (1/25) with Stan James while Monfils has flirty odds of +1050 (21/2) available with Boylesports.  Neither player has lost a set in this tournament which is not that surprising, even for Monfils.  The 18th ranked player on tour is a clay courter and he has made back to back deep runs at the French Open having made the quarters last year and the semis in 2008 (l. to Federer both occasions).  He's been idle on tour with a left knee injury but he appears to be healthy and there is no reason why he can not be expected to play two close sets against Nadal.

At +1050 he may be a little underrated however the value should be considered minimal.  bet365 have handicap betting open for the match and our recommendation is to back Monfils at +6 with odds of +110 (11/10).

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